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Buy & Sell Trade History


Conservative S&P Timer
Buy & Sell Trade History
Uses Bullish & Cash Positions Only
Historical Trades from 1991

Using the S&P 500 Index as the benchmark, the Rydex Nova Fund and several widely used S&P Index funds which closely track the S&P, to measure rerformance. Also included are the Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund to show results with small cap funds, plus two additional well managed funds that are widely held, American Century Ultra and Fidelity Blue Chip Growth.

Note: Some funds did not trade in 1991. They are marked N/A.

Timed Results:        1/29/91 - 12/31/04        + 659.4 %

Example:    $100,000 invested in the Rydex Nova Fund (beta 1.5) would be worth
                    $759,400.00 as of December 31, 2004
BUY SIGNAL - Jan. 29, 1991      SELL SIGNAL- Apr. 4, 1994
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
Dreyfus BASIC S&P 500 Index Fund - DSPIXN/A  
Spartan 500 Index Fund - FSMKX24.72 - 32.56 + 31.7 %
T Rowe Price Equity Index Fund - PREIXN/A  
Strong Index 500 Fund - SINEXN/A  
Vanguard Index Trust 500 Fund - VFINX31.36 - 41.23 + 31.5 %
S&P 500 Index - SPX331.06 - 438.92 + 32.6 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVXN/A  
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund - FBGRX15.14 - 24.10 + 59.2 %
American Century Ultra Fund - TWCUX10.40 - 20.71 + 99.1 %
Vanguard Index Trust Small Cap Fund - NAESX6.62 - 15.11 + 128.2 %
BUY SIGNAL - Aug. 29, 1994      SELL SIGNAL - Sept. 14, 1998
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
Dreyfus BASIC S&P 500 Index Fund - DSPIX10.43 - 21.85 + 109.5 %
Spartan 500 Index Fund - FSMKX35.38 - 71.48 + 102.0 %
T Rowe Price Equity Index Fund - PREIX13.74 - 28.07 + 104.3 %
Strong Index 500 Fund - SINEXN/A  
Vanguard Index Trust 500 Fund - VFINX44.85 - 95.95 + 113.9 %
S&P 500 Index - SPX424.59 - 1029.72 + 142.5 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVX10.81 - 26.18 + 142.2 %
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund - FBGRX26.42 - 41.40 + 55.6 %
American Century Ultra Fund - TWCUX20.64 - 30.05 + 45.6 %
Vanguard Index Trust Small Cap Fund - NAESX15.82 - 19.39 + 22.6 %
BUY SIGNAL - Nov. 16, 1998      SELL SIGNAL - Oct. 2, 2000
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
Dreyfus BASIC S&P 500 Index Fund - DSPIX24.14 - 30.06 + 24.5 %
Spartan 500 Index Fund - FSMKX79.05 - 99.11 + 25.4 %
T Rowe Price Equity Index Fund - PREIX30.96 - 38.67 + 24.9 %
Strong Index 500 Fund - SINEX14.34 - 17.75 + 23.8 %
Vanguard Index Trust 500 Fund - VFINX106.17 - 132.56 + 24.9 %
S&P 500 Index - SPX1135.87 - 1436.23 + 26.4 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVX29.64 - 38.30 + 29.2 %
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund - FBGRX45.26 - 59.37 + 31.2 %
American Century Ultra Fund - TWCUX31.82 - 43.90 + 38.0 %
Vanguard Index Trust Small Cap Fund - NAESX21.21 - 23.99 + 13.1 %

  During this cash position, Oct 2, 2000 - April 28, 2003, account gained
  (approx) + 7.5 % in in money market interest.

BUY SIGNAL - Apr. 28, 2003      SELL SIGNAL - July 27, 2004
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
updated monthly
Dreyfus BASIC S&P 500 Index Fund - DSPIX19.12 - 23.06 + 19.7 %
Spartan 500 Index Fund - FSMKX63.22 - 75.69 + 19.7 %
T Rowe Price Equity Index Fund - PREIX24.64 - 29.51 + 19.8 %
Strong Index 500 Fund - SINEX10.82 - 12.86 + 18.9 %
Vanguard Index Trust 500 Fund - VFINX84.53 - 101.23 + 19.8 %
S&P 500 Index - SPX914.84 - 1094.83 + 19.7 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVX17.42 - 23.06 + 32.4 %
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund - FBGRX33.52 - 38.47 + 14.8 %
American Century Ultra Fund - TWCUX22.37 - 26.45 + 28.2 %
Vanguard Index Trust Small Cap Fund - NAESX16.21 - 22.60 + 39.4 %
BUY SIGNAL   -   Nov 4, 2004    to    SELL SIGNAL   July 18, 2006  
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
updated monthly
S&P 500 Index - SPX                             1161.67 - 1236.86 + 6.5 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVX      24.65(d) - 26.70 + 8.3 %
  During this cash position, July 18, 2006 - August 2, 2006, account gained (approx) + 0.2 % in in money market interest.  
BUY SIGNAL   -   August 2, 2006   to  SELL SIGNAL  January 7, 2008  
Mutual Fund or IndexBuy & Sell Price Gain / Loss
updated monthly
S&P 500 Index - SPX                             1278.55-1468.36 + 14.8 %
Rydex Nova Fund (1.5 beta) - RYNVX      25.46 (d) - 30.69 + 20.5 %
   

 

 

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