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Market Timing for
Index "Exchange Traded Funds"
Market Timing for Active Stock Traders
The same market timing trend indicators
that help us accurately time the markets with index and sector
funds, are also excellent for market timing "select" index and
industry specific Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), as well as carefully
selected stocks.
Below are descriptions of the ETF Timer and the Stock Timer.
FibTimer monitors most of the actively
traded ETFs, and includes the most widely traded ETFs,
such as the QQQQ, SPY, BBH, OIH, SMH, DIA, TTH, UTH, TLT, etc.
in the ETF Timer.
The ETF Timer is an "Aggressive"
market timing strategy, using both long and short positions.
The ETF Timer is meant to be traded
as a portfolio of positions. We recommend trading at least
8 ETFs from different industries. Diversity protects from downside
risks, while holding multiple positions creates a very profitable
strategy because industry specific ETFs tend to trend much further
than most expect. Strong trends equal large profits over time.
The ETF Timer is
updated daily after the close. For the record, ETF Timer
uses the closing price of the next trading day when changes are
made. Subscribers may obtain better entry prices.
The ETF Timer report
has detailed "recommended" trading instructions for profitably
trading these issues.
2003 - all positions, long & short + 29.4 % gain / long only + 27.4 % gain
2004 - all positions, long & short + 10.5 % gain / long only + 8.0 % gain
2005 - all positions, long & short + 0.4 % gain / long only + 6.8 % gain
2006 - all positions, long & short + 6.0 % gain / long only + 8.9 % gain
2007 - all positions, long & short + 4.9 % gain
2008 - all positions, long & short - 4.9 % loss
Sample of current portfolio, as of March 23, 2009
| Exchange Traded Funds |
Entry
Date |
Current
Position |
ETF Price
at Close |
Gain / Loss
at Close |
| Internet HOLDRs - HHH |
3/13/09 |
Bullish |
$ 36.17 |
+ 8.1 % |
|
| Ishare 20 Yr Bond - TLT |
12/31/08 |
Bearish |
$ 103.02 |
+ 13.9 % |
|
| Semiconduct. HLDRs - SMH |
3/18/09 |
Bullish |
$ 19.27 |
+ 1.5 % |
|
| Ishares Msci Emerg Mkts - EEM |
3/19/09 |
Bullish |
$ 26.11 |
+ 7.8 % |
|
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Only stocks that tend to trend over
long time frames are selected for trading in our Stock Timer
strategy. From the entire S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, only about 30
trending issues that meet our requirements are covered at any one
time.
The Stock Timer is an "
Aggressive" market timing strategy, using both long and short
positions.
Occasionally a new stock
will be added or dropped. Stocks are usually covered for long periods
of time, and because of their tendency to trend, most positions
are held for months at a time. Any stock that is dropped remains
on the Trading History page.
The
Stock Timer is meant to be traded as a portfolio of positions. We
recommend at least 12-15 stocks. Diversity protects from downside
risks, while holding multiple positions creates a very profitable
strategy because of these specific stocks's tendencies to trend
over long time frames. Long trends equal large profits.
The Stock Timer is updated
daily after the close. For the record, Stock Timer uses the
closing price of the next trading day when changes are made. Subscribers
may obtain better entry prices.
The Stock Timer report has detailed "recommended" trading instructions for profitably
trading these stocks.
2003 - all positions, long & short + 63.9 % gain
2004 - all positions, long & short + 7.8 % gain / long only + 14.5 % gain
2005 - all positions, long & short + 14.1 % gain / long only + 13.9 % gain
2006 - all positions, long & short + 18.3 % gain / long only + 16.3 % gain
2007 - all positions, long & short + 21.4 % gain
2008 - all positions, long & short + 24.3 % gain
Sample of current portfolio, as of April 10, 2009
| Company Name - Ticker |
Entry
Date |
Current
Position |
Stock Price
Friday Close |
Gain / Loss
Friday Close |
| Adobe Systems Inc - ADBE |
3/24/09 |
Bullish |
$ 24.87 |
+ 14.0 % |
|
| Amazon.com Inc - AMZN |
3/13/09 |
Bullish |
$ 79.77 |
+ 16.2 % |
|
| Apple Inc - AAPL |
3/24/09 |
Bullish |
$ 119.57 |
+ 11.9 % |
|
| Penney JC Co Inc - JCP |
3/24/09 |
Bullish |
$ 25.42 |
+ 32.6 % |
|
| Starbucks Corporation - SBUX |
3/18/09 |
Bullish |
$ 12.00 |
+ 4.3 % |
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