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Weekly "Real Estate Investment Trust" Timing Update For
Subscribers 
Conservative
- Using Bullish Positions Only
Conservative REIT Timer Position
Stats
Previous positions, Trade by Trade History
(d) = price adjusted for dividend
Uses the CBOE DJ REIT Index (DJR) &
Rydex Real Estate Fund (RYHRX) or other REIT index fund
Entry
Date |
Signal |
Mutual
Fund
or Index |
Entry Current
Price Friday Close |
Time
Frame |
Gain
Loss |
Current
Position |
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| 12/28/11 |
Bullish |
Rydex Real Est |
27.06 - 34.37 |
12/28/11 - 3/28/13 |
+ 27.0 % |
Open |
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| 8/23/11 |
Bearish |
Money Market |
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8/23/11-12/28/11 |
+ 0.7 % |
Closed |
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| 8/31/09 |
Bullish |
Rydex Real Est |
19.97 - 26.19 |
8/31/09-8/23/11 |
+ 31.1 % |
Closed |
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Indicators, Timing &
Chart Studies
Fibonacci Support & Resistance
Levels, Elliott Wave Analysis, Technical Chart Analysis
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| Bullish & Bearish positions are based on Trend. Trend is determined by proprietary, non-discretionary trend indicators. The following analysis attempts to forecast what we can expect over the coming weeks and months. Analysis, by its very nature, is subjective. Buy and sell decisions are not based on this analysis, but on the current trend. Over time, trading trends is where profits are greatest. We use the CBOE DJ REIT Index (DJR) for this analysis.
REIT Chart
Analysis
Last week we wrote:
"After losing ground early in the week, REITs stopped declining right at their 50-day moving average. Most of the losses were erased by the close on Friday and the sector ended the week with a fractional loss."
This week:
A solid gain was posted this week for REIT stocks. This sector has been a favorite of ours for many years.
We have a bullish signal in place. The strategy does not try to trade short term moves.
This is a conservative long term strategy.
The REIT Timer is in a BULLISH position and in the Rydex
Real Estate Fund (RYHRX) or other diversified REIT fund.
Dow Jones Equity REIT Index (DJR.X)
Weekly Chart
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Strategy uses the Dow Jones Equity REIT Index (DJR.X)
for timing signals. Because of the daily volatility
in REITs, we use "weekly" data to determine trend
changes.
The Rydex Real Estate Fund (RYHRX) is our fund of
choice but other REIT index funds should do as well.
Most Mutual Fund families such as Fidelity, Vanguard,
Price, Rydex Funds and Pro Funds have REIT funds.
Because signals are infrequent, few fund companies
will have problems with buy and sell signals, but
check your fund company to be sure there are no charges
for making changes.
An emailed Fibtimer Alert will be sent if any changes
occur midweek (after 6PM but before 9PM) the evening
"before" the changes take effect.
Starting the Conservative REIT Timer - It is always best to enter on a buy signal. However, because buy signals can be far apart, most new subscribers will be entering midsignal. In this case we suggest that you do so over a period of time. For example; 20% initially, and then adding funds in increments of 20% monthly. Such an entry strategy reduces the risk of entering at a high point. As with all of our strategies, the signals MUST be acted on when they are issued in order to be successful.
Consider
using the Conservative REIT Timer as part of a diversified timing portfolio.
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BULLISH:
