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ETF Timer & Stock Timer
Market Timing for Index "Exchange Traded Funds"
Market Timing for Active Stock Traders
The same market timing trend indicators that help us accurately time the markets with index and sector funds, are also excellent
for market timing "select" index and industry specific Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), as well as carefully selected stocks.
Below are descriptions of the ETF Timer and the Stock Timer.
Click on these links to go directly to each description:
ETF Timer Stock Timer
FibTimer monitors most of the actively traded ETFs, and includes the most widely traded ETFs,
such as the QQQQ, SPY, BBH, OIH, SMH, DIA, TTH, UTH, TLT, etc. in the ETF Timer.
The ETF Timer is an "Aggressive" market timing strategy, using both long and short positions.
The ETF Timer is meant to be traded as a portfolio of positions. We recommend trading at least 8 ETFs from different industries. Diversity protects from downside risks,
while holding multiple positions
creates a very profitable strategy because industry specific ETFs tend to trend much further than most expect. Strong trends equal large profits over time.
The ETF Timer is updated daily after the close. For the record, ETF Timer uses the closing price of the next trading day when changes are made. Subscribers may obtain better entry prices.
The ETF Timer report has detailed "recommended" trading instructions for profitably trading these issues.
Trade results - 2003 & 2004 are below:
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| ETFs | 2003 | 2004 |
| Biotech HOLDERS - BBH | + 46.6 % | - 0.5 % |
| Ishares DJ Basic Mat - IYM | + 27.6 % | + 8.3 % |
| Cns Staples SPDRs - XLP | + 13.1 % | + 4.7 % |
| Diamonds Trust - DIA | + 38.3 % | - 3.9 % |
| Ishares Emerg Mkts - EEM | + 39.2 % | + 22.9 % |
| Ishares Msci Eafe - EFA | + 36.6 % | + 17.0 % |
| Energy SPDRs - XLE | + 3.4 % | + 8.2 % |
| Financial SPDRs - XLF | + 22.8 % | - 2.5 % |
| Healthcare SPDRs - XLV | + 17.4 % | - 2.3 % |
| Industrials SPDRs - XLI | + 34.6 % | + 7.2 % |
| Internet HOLDRs - HHH | + 55.8 % | + 18.3 % |
| Ishare Rus 1000 - IWF | + 27.7 % | + 3.0 % |
| Ishare Rus 2000 - IWM | + 51.3 % | + 12.8 % |
| Nasdaq 100 Index - QQQQ | + 27.8 % | + 6.7 % |
| Oil Service HLDRs - OIH | + 11.0 % | + 29.2 % |
| Pharmaceutical HLDRs - PPH | + 6.3 % | + 0.4 % |
| MI Software HLDRs - SWH | + 20.2 % | + 14.8 % |
| S&P Dep Receipts - SPY | + 29.3 % | + 5.1 % |
| Semicond HLDRs - SMH | + 57.1 % | + 14.8 % |
| Technology SPDRs - XLK | + 32.2 % | + 3.3 % |
| Telecom HLDRs - TTH | + 33.1 % | - 2.0 % |
| Utility HLDRs - UTH | + 16.7 % | + 19.1 % |
A recent (Dec 31, 2004) sample of positions from our subscriber's
ETF Timer report is shown below:
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Exchange Traded Funds | Entry
Date |
Current
Position | ETF Price
Friday Close |
Gain / Loss
Friday Close |
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| Biotech HOLDRS - BBH | 11/12/04 |
Long | $ 152.92 |
+ 7.2 % | |
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| Ishares DJ Basic Mat - IYM | 8/20/04 |
Long | $ 50.36 |
+ 12.9 % | |
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| Ishares Emerg Mkts - EEM | 8/23/04 |
Long | $ 201.85 |
+ 26.1 % | |
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| Ishares Msci Eafe - EFA | 9/9/04 |
Long | $ 160.25 |
+ 17.8 % | |
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| Energy SPDRs - XLE | 9/1/04 |
Long | $ 36.32 |
+ 11.7 % | |
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| Most widely traded ETFs are covered in the subscriber's reports. |
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Only stocks that tend to trend over long time frames are selected for trading in our Stock Timer strategy. From the entire S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, only about 30
trending issues that meet our requirements are covered at any one time.
The Stock Timer is an "Aggressive" market timing strategy, using both long and short positions.
Occasionally a new stock will be added or dropped. Stocks are usually covered for long periods of time, and
because of their tendency to trend, most positions are held for months at a time. Any stock that is dropped remains on the Trading History page.
The Stock Timer is meant to be traded as a portfolio of positions. We recommend at least 12-15 stocks. Diversity protects from downside risks,
while holding multiple positions
creates a very profitable strategy because of these specific stocks's tendencies to trend over long time frames. Long trends equal large profits.
The Stock Timer is updated daily after the close. For the record, Stock Timer uses the closing price of the next trading day when changes are made. Subscribers may obtain better entry prices.
The Stock Timer report has detailed "recommended" trading instructions for profitably trading these stocks.
Partial stock trade results for Year 2003 (usually about 30 positions are open):
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| Carnival Corp - CCL |
= + 41.5 % |
| Cendant Corp - CD |
= + 58.8 % |
| Credit Suisse Group - CSR |
= + 54.00 % |
| Dana Cp - DCN |
= + 136.2 % |
| Dollar Tree Stores - DLTR |
= + 59.8 % |
| FMC Cp - FMC |
= + 144.9 % |
| General Motors - GM |
= + 50.4 % |
| Georgia Pacific Cp - GP |
= + 93.0 % |
| Intel Corporation - INTC |
= + 65.5 % |
| Inco Ltd - N |
= + 98.5 % |
| PG & E Cp - PCG |
= + 107.2 % |
| Sanmina-SCI Corp - SANM |
= + 162.0 % |
| Starbucks Corp - SBUX |
= + 45.5 % |
| United Tech - UTX |
= + 56.4 % |
Partial stock trade results for Year 2004 (usually about 30 positions are open):
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| Adobe Systems Inc - ADBE |
= + 31.0 % |
| Anadarko Petroleum - APC |
= + 6.7 % % |
| Burlington Resources - BR |
= + 12.3 % |
| Carnival Corp - CCL |
= + 9.9 % % |
| Credit Suisse Group - CSR |
= + 33.3 % |
| Edison Intl - EIX |
= + 32.5 % |
| Eaton Cp - ETN |
= + 15.2 % |
| Franklin Resources Inc - BEN |
= + 36.0 % |
| Humana Inc - HUM |
= + 47.4 % |
| Intel Corporation - INTC |
= + 19.1 % |
| PG & E Cp - PCG |
= + 14.7 % |
| Sanmina-SCI Corp - SANM |
= + 55.6 % |
| Starbucks Corp - SBUX |
= + 42.8 % |
| United Tech - UTX |
= + 9.0 % |
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A recent (January 1, 2005) sample of positions from our subscriber's
Stock Timer report is shown below:
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Company Name - Ticker | Entry
Date |
Current
Position | Stock Price
Friday Close |
Gain / Loss
Friday Close |
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| Adobe Systems Inc - ADBE | 8/19/04 |
Long | $ 62.74 |
+ 38.4 % | |
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Reverse to SHORT position in below stock before the close Thurs, Jan 6.
Below data will be updated after 6PM (before 9PM) EST using 4PM closing price.
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| Burlington Resources - BR | 9/3/04 |
Long | $ 43.50 |
+ 16.5 % | |
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| Carnival Corp - CCL | 9/1/04 |
Long | $ 57.63 |
+ 26.3 % | |
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| Credit Suisse Group - CSR | 10/5/04 |
Long | $ 42.19 |
+ 27.1 % | |
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| Edison Intl - EIX | 5/28/04 |
Long | $ 32.03 |
+ 32.7 % | |
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| Eaton Cp - ETN | 10/28/04 |
Long | $ 72.36 |
+ 13.8 % | |
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| Franklin Resources Inc - BEN | 8/19/04 |
Long | $ 69.65 |
+ 36.0 % | |
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| Frontline Ltd - FRO | 12/23/04 |
Short | $ 44.36 |
+ 6.6 % | |
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| Georgia Pacific Cp - GP | 11/5/04 |
Long | $ 37.48 |
+ 5.9 % | |
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| Humana Inc - HUM | 11/1/04 |
Long | $ 29.69 |
+ 50.8 % | |
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| 30-35 trending stocks are covered in the subscriber's reports. |
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© Copyright 1996-2005, Kollar Market Analytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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