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Bull & Bear Pro Timer Aggressive Fund Market Timing
Bull Pro Timer Active Mutual Fund Market Timing
The following "Pro Timer" mutual fund market timing strategies are covered on this page:
 Bull & Bear Pro Timer - (Aggressive market timing) Profits in both bullish market trends and bearish market trends, by moving in and out of bull and bear S&P and Nasdaq index funds.
Bull Pro Timer - (Active market timing) Profits in bullish market trends by moving into bullish S&P and Nasdaq index funds. During bearish market trends, this
market timing strategy moves to cash (money market funds)
Both market timing strategies are covered in detail below. Click on the below links or scroll down this page for detailed information:
Bull & Bear Pro Timer
Bull Pro Timer
The Bull & Bear Pro Timer trades ALL identified trends. By trading all market trends, it never misses the big ones. Aggressive mutual fund market timers know that highly profitable trends (bullish as well as bearish) occur only once or twice each year.
The Bull & Bear Pro Timer market timing strategy makes the majority of its profits in those rallies and declines.
If you are unsure what market timing strategy is best for you, aggressive, active or conservative, this might be a good time to read our
Successful Market Timing With FibTimer report which goes into each
strategy in detail, and will help you determine what your market timing "emotional" comfort level is.
The Bull & Bear Pro Timer is for aggressive index fund market timers. This time proven strategy is designed to
achieve profits in both bull and bear markets by moving in and out of bullish and bearish S&P and Nasdaq index funds. We use the Rydex Funds (Rydex Nova, Ursa, OTC & Arktos) to track performance results. Our market timing analysis uses Fib support and resistance analysis and Elliott Wave pattern analysis
to determine current and future market trends.
Weekly report analysis helps us to be prepared for what is "likely" to occur in the financial markets.
Once our analysis is confirmed by our proprietary trend following indicators, Pro Timer Bull & Bear moves to either a long (bullish position)
or a short (bearish position). Buy and sell signals are based on a trend timing strategy that does not allow interpretation,
and that has a superb long term performance record.
Proprietary trend indicators make buy and sell decisions based on both the
S&P 500 Index - SPX, and the Nasdaq 100 Index - NDX. The Bull & Bear Pro Timer is always
invested in either long (bullish positions) or short (bearish positions), 50% in the NDX, 50% in the SPX.
;Subscribers can use Rydex OTC & Arktos, Rydex Nova & Ursa, Profunds, or other S&P or OTC bull/bear index funds.
This strategy is designed to keep losses very small.
In 2002, the strategy made 14 SPX trades and 7 NDX trades. In 2003, the strategy made 16 SPX trades and 13 NDX trades and in 2004 only 9 SPX trades and 7 NDX trades.
In all years, we beat our benchmark indices by a wide margin.
When the criteria for this market timing strategy
is met to go either long or short, we reverse our position. We are always fully invested. This does not make it more volatile. It actually "reduces" volatility.
We also reduce volatility by being 50% invested in S&P 500 index funds and 50% invested in
Nasdaq 100 index funds (either bullish or bearish as needed) at all times. Drawdowns are thus smoothed out, and kept at a minimum, making
this strategy highly attractive to mutual fund market timers and traders.
Emailed alerts are sent to all FibTimer subscribers for every trade, and the Bull & Bear Pro Timer website report is also
updated for every trade. Alerts are emailed between 6-7PM, EST, and no later than 9PM, EST the evening before any change is executed.
The proprietary market timing trend indicators used in this model create specific buy and sell signals. There is no emotion
involved in the decision making. The system has been back tested through 1999 and has been live since 2002, so its performance in both bull and bear markets has been well documented.
Pro Timer is designed to keep drawdown to a minimum and always be on the right side of all trends.
Our "Aggressive" market timing strategies will always generate a larger
number of buy and sell signals than a longer term (or buy and hold) strategy.
Subscribers who trade our aggressive market timing strategies should understand
what such trading involves. When we say aggressive, we mean aggressive. Multiple trades are a common occurrence and we may have several small losses in a row. Thus a longer term (two - three years) perspective should be used to judge performance.
Our aggressive market timing strategies make large profits in trending markets and provide risk management in sideways markets.
Market timing mutual funds requires commitment and mutual fund timers must be willing to stay the course to reap the benefits.
If aggressive market timing is not something you will be comfortable with, you should use our
longer term Conservative S&P Timer
which trades infrequently, but successfully keeps subscribers fully invested
during long term advances, while protecting them in safe haven (money market funds) during long term declines. The Conservative Timer has a superb track record, and is
very easy to follow and easy to stay with over time.
Bull & Bear Pro Timer
S&P & Nasdaq Index Fund Market Timer
Uses Bullish & Bearish Positions
October 21, 1999 - January 1, 2005 Results
| Year 2000 | |
|
| Start: October 21, 1999 (last trade date in 1999) - December 31, 2000 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | - 3.4 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 46.9 % |
| Year 2001 | |
|
| December 31, 2000 - December 31, 2001 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | - 23.8 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 5.8 % |
| Year 2002 | |
|
| December 31, 2001 - December 31, 2002 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | - 30.6 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 35.2 % |
| Year 2003 | |
|
| December 31, 2002 - December 31, 2003 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | + 35.1 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 18.9 % |
| Year 2004 | |
|
| December 31, 2003 - December 31, 2004 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | + 9.6 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 13.9 % |
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The Bull Pro Timer only trades bullish trends.
During sideways (non-trending) markets there is considerably less volatility in this strategy because
it moves to cash during declines, instead of reversing to bearish funds as the aggressive Bull & Bear Pro Timer market timing strategy does.
During prolonged declines , the Bull Pro Timer
stays in cash (money market funds). The strategy is excellent for timers who are trading retirement accounts that do not offer bear funds, or for those who just do
not like the volatility of reversing from bullish to bearish funds, and back again.
The Bull Pro Timer, though not taking bearish positions, is still an "Active" timing strategy.
The proprietary market timing trend indicators make buy and sell decisions based on both the
S&P 500 Index, and the Nasdaq 100 Index. The Bull Pro Timer is either 50% in the NDX, and 50% in the SPX
during long (bullish trends) or cash during bearish trends. Each 50% position is entered individually, so the strategy can be for example; 50% in
bullish S&P funds, and 50% in cash, at the same time.
The Bull Pro Timer had only 3 SPX trades and 3 NDX trades in 2003. It had 4 SPX trades and 4 NDX trades in 2004.
Emailed alerts are sent to all subscribers for every trade, and the Bull Pro Timer website report is also
updated if a trade is announced. Alerts are emailed between 6-7PM, EST, and no later than 9PM, EST the evening before any change is executed.
FibTimer uses Rydex Nova & OTC Funds to measure market timing performance. Subscribers can use Rydex, Profunds, or other S&P or OTC index funds found in almost
all mutual fund families such as Fidelity Funds, Strong Funds, Vanguard Funds, American Century Funds, Janus Funds, etc.
Lastly, the Pros and Cons of using the Bull Pro Timer instead of the Bull & Bear Pro Timer strategy.
Pro: There is much less volatility when bearish positions are not
used. During sideways markets, where ups and downs occur too fast to profit from them, this market timing strategy will have
considerably lower drawdowns than the Bull & Bear Pro Timer, spending much of its time in cash.
Con: The Bull & Bear Pro Timer strategy, using both bull and bear positions, will make greater profits over
long time frames. Trading both bullish and bearish positions, while more volatile, is also more profitable over time. But subscribers must be able
to weather the ups and downs of aggressive market timing using the Bull & Bear Pro Timer. Be sure you are able to handle multiple small losses without
being emotionally swayed into exiting the strategy (usually at the worst time).
For those who want less volatility, while still achieving excellent market timing profits while safeguarding capital
against loss, the Bull Pro Timer is the market timing strategy of choice.
For those who want protection from bear markets, but do NOT want to worry about actively market timing the markets (buy and sell signals are generated "less" than
once a year on average), our Conservative S&P Timer
may be the strategy you are looking for.
Bull Pro Timer
S&P & Nasdaq Index Fund Market Timer
Uses Bullish Positions Only
October 14, 2002 - January 1, 2005 Results
* Strategy started Oct 14, 2002
| Year 2003 | |
|
| Start: October 14, 2002 (last trade date in 2002) - December 31, 2003 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | + 42.2 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 55.5 % |
| Year 2004 | |
|
| December 31, 2003 - December 31, 2004 |
| S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 (end year gain / loss) | + 9.6 % |
| Bull & Bear Pro Timer (market timed end year gain / loss) | + 13.3 % |
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